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The OFFICIAL Boxden Sports Betting Discussion


 The OFFICIAL Boxden Sports Betting Discussion
 09-21-2011, 08:07 AMaway - #141
thatruest
Originally Posted by Section80
Cincinnati allows 107.00 rushing (which still isn't THAT much)

San Fran only allows 79 on the ground though.

And the only reason I don't think Cleveland isn't running Hillis like that is b/c they don't want to break him down for one, and they're being cautious about his injury.

Gore is averaging around 20 touches but only getting like 55-60 yrds though so it may come down to Andy Dalton vs Alex Smith and who do you like in that scenario...
I like Dalton, but leaning 49ers as a better whole. My preseason predictions had Bengals going as a surprise 8-8. That being said, the 49ers could easily be 2-0. Bengals beat Cleveland & lost to Denver, who lost to Oakland in their own stadium. Oakland won by 3 @Denver & lost by 3 @Buffalo, that's a team that's not anywhere near as good as what some are making them out to be. I think enough teams just haven't been exposed because they're playing horrible teams. I think Miami wins in Cleveland. Miami just went against the Patriots & Texans, didn't win but they have been battle tested. Better than what Cleveland's gone up against. Also, I like NYJ to cover the 3.5 @Oak. I'm wondering what most are thinking about the Broncos/Titans (over).

Last edited by thatruest; 09-21-2011 at 08:18 AM..
 09-21-2011, 08:10 AMaway - #142
thatruest
We should start re-listing, listing our picks with confidence points. So we could get a better gauge as to what seem like the best investments for a 2-4 team parlay.
 09-21-2011, 08:47 AMaway - #143
HiLoMotion
S80 Tiers


Tier 1 (Picks I'm sold On)
Baltimore (-3)
San Diego (-15)
Detroit (-4)
Arizona (-3)

Tier 2 (Picks that I'm KINDA Feeling)
Carolina (-3.5) [Gotta see if they put Gabber in though]
NY Jets (-3.5)
Green Bay/Chicago (O/U 46)
Pittsburgh (-10.5)

Tier 3 (Picks That's Up In The Air Right Now)
San Fran (+1)
Miami (+2)



*Subject to change between now and Friday

Last edited by HiLoMotion; 09-21-2011 at 08:59 AM..
 09-21-2011, 09:36 AMaway - #144
BadAzzYelloGirl
Ughhhhh! Baltimore cleaned me out, I've been depressed.[pic] Gotta make a deposit, I havent even checked the lines this week......
 09-21-2011, 09:50 AMaway - #145
thatruest
Originally Posted by Section80
S80 Tiers


Tier 1 (Picks I'm sold On)
Baltimore (-3)
San Diego (-15)
Detroit (-4)
Arizona (-3)

Tier 2 (Picks that I'm KINDA Feeling)
Carolina (-3.5) [Gotta see if they put Gabber in though]
NY Jets (-3.5)
Green Bay/Chicago (O/U 46)
Pittsburgh (-10.5)

Tier 3 (Picks That's Up In The Air Right Now)
San Fran (+1)
Miami (+2)



*Subject to change between now and Friday
Even w/ Gabbert. In Carolina. Panthers win by 7.
 09-21-2011, 09:56 AMaway - #146
Spiffy
I know it's a football thread, but wanted to share some MLB picks for early games today

Baseball MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ -105 for Game
Baseball MLB - San Diego Padres @ Colorado RockiesTotal O 9½ -120 for Game
Baseball MLB - Cincinnati Reds -145 for Game
Baseball MLB - Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago CubsTotal U 10 Ev for Game
 09-21-2011, 10:02 AMaway - #147
thatruest
Sep 25 NFL [397] TOTAL o53½-110 (NE PATRIOTS vrs BUFF BILLS )
Sep 25 NFL [407] DET LIONS -3½EV
Sep 25 NFL [412] SD CHARGERS -14½-110
Sep 25 NFL [415] BAL RAVENS -3½-115
Sep 25 NFL [419] ARI CARDINALS -3½-105
Risking 8 USD To Win 204 USD
 09-21-2011, 10:23 AMaway - #148
HiLoMotion
Originally Posted by BadAzzYelloGirl
Ughhhhh! Baltimore cleaned me out, I've been depressed.[pic] Gotta make a deposit, I havent even checked the lines this week......

Told y'all leave it alone [pic]



Y'all might want to leave that Denver game alone too since I see some of y'all thinking that it's a "sure thing" ...................again [pic]
 09-21-2011, 10:24 AMaway - #149
HiLoMotion
Originally Posted by Spiffy
I know it's a football thread, but wanted to share some MLB picks for early games today

Baseball MLB - Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ -105 for Game
Baseball MLB - San Diego Padres @ Colorado RockiesTotal O 9½ -120 for Game
Baseball MLB - Cincinnati Reds -145 for Game
Baseball MLB - Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago CubsTotal U 10 Ev for Game

How sure of these are you?


I got SCREWED yesterday.
 09-21-2011, 10:27 AMaway - #150
Spiffy
^Sure enough to bet my money

but dont be comin back to me like "Why did I listen"
 09-21-2011, 10:31 AMaway - #151
HiLoMotion
Originally Posted by Spiffy
^Sure enough to bet my money

but dont be comin back to me like "Why did I listen"


You parlay any of them or you went straight up?
 09-21-2011, 10:37 AMaway - #152
Spiffy
no parlays, straight up

game time [pic]
 09-21-2011, 10:47 AMaway - #153
HiLoMotion
Originally Posted by thatruest
Even w/ Gabbert. In Carolina. Panthers win by 7.

So, what's your list?
 09-21-2011, 11:02 AMaway - #154
thatruest
1st Tier
Ravens, -3.5
Chargers, -14.5
NE/BUF, Over (53.5 pts)
Panthers, -3.5
Steelers, -10.5

2nd Tier
Saints, -4
Lions, -3.5
GB/CHI, Under (45.5 pts)
Dolphins, +1

3rd Tier
Jets, -3.5
Falcons, +1.5
49ers, +2
 09-21-2011, 11:12 AMaway - #155
ttime236
Originally Posted by thatruest
1st Tier
Ravens, -3.5
Chargers, -14.5
NE/BUF, Over (53.5 pts)
Panthers, -3.5
Steelers, -10.5

2nd Tier
Saints, -4
Lions, -3.5
GB/CHI, Under (45.5 pts)
Dolphins, +1

3rd Tier
Jets, -3.5
Falcons, +1.5
49ers, +2
No hate, but damn you love favorites. Barely any dogs[pic]. Thats how the nfl books make so much money off people
 09-21-2011, 11:13 AMaway - #156
NJallD
Originally Posted by thatruest
Benson doesn't out gain Gore on Sunday?
!! no, 49ers have the top ranked rush D in the whole league
 09-21-2011, 11:16 AMaway - #157
thatruest
Originally Posted by ttime236
No hate, but damn you love favorites. Barely any dogs[pic]. Thats how the nfl books make so much money off people
How's yours look?
 09-21-2011, 11:19 AMaway - #158
ttime236
Originally Posted by thatruest
How's yours look?
cards -3.5, broncos +7.5, ne/buff over 52

Statically, its runs bout 50/50 with favs n dogs so [pic]. But do you, good luck
 09-21-2011, 11:23 AMaway - #159
Spiffy
Originally Posted by ttime236
No hate, but damn you love favorites. Barely any dogs[pic]. Thats how the nfl books make so much money off people
that and also people always going for home favorites
 09-21-2011, 11:32 AMaway - #160
HiLoMotion
I mean, maybe it just might be a good week for the favorites. It is definitely not safe to do something like that week in and week out but there's a chance that the majority of teams that are expected to win will win.

Me personally, I don't even look at the lines right away. I look at the game, then start gathering info from there and when I go look at the lines after, I can kind of gauge how far off I was or if my intel match up with thier odds.
 
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